AR-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
2% Dem
Rep 98%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Terri Green | 2% |
| Rick Crawford | 98% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 6% | 10/28/2026: 2% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 93% | 10/28/2026: 98% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Terri Yarbrough Green | Democrat |
| Rick Crawford | Republican |
| Steve G. Parsons | Libertarian |


