Control of the House
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
92% Dem
Rep 8%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Democratic Party | 91% |
| Republican Party | 9% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Democratic Party | 92% |
| Republican Party | 8% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 82% | 10/28/2026: 91% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 84% | 10/28/2026: 92% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 19% | 10/28/2026: 9% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 16% | 10/28/2026: 8% |
Generic ballot average
53 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+7.7
Dem
50.4%
Rep
42.7%
Seats
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Democrats | Democrat |
| Republicans | Republican |
| America First | Other |
| American Constitution | Other |
| Conservative | Other |
| Constitution | Other |
| Florida Forward Party | Other |
| Green | Green |
| Independent | Independent |
| Independent American | Other |
| Independent Party of Florida | Other |
| Kentucky Party | Other |
Control of the House: polls over time
601 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Dem 50.8%
Rep 43%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dem | 50.8% | 601 | 10/26/2026 |
| Rep | 43% | 601 | 10/26/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX/Harris Poll | 10/24–10/26 | — LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| Ipsos | 10/22–10/26 | 1,164 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| YouGov | 10/23–10/26 | 1,263 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| Morning Consult | 10/19–10/25 | 17,491 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| Cygnal | 10/23–10/24 | 1,500 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| Echelon Insights | 10/16–10/23 | 2,907 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| YouGov | 10/21–10/23 | 1,749 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| ActiVote | 10/15–10/21 | 1,000 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| Clarity Campaign Labs | 10/15–10/21 | 1,016 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| Bedrock Polling | 10/14–10/20 | 1,279 RV |
Dem
Rep
|