South Carolina governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
10% Dem
Rep 90%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Jermaine Johnson | 11% |
| Alan Wilson | 91% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Jermaine Johnson | 8% |
| Alan Wilson | 91% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 7% | 10/29/2026: 11% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 12% | 10/29/2026: 8% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 91% | 10/29/2026: 91% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 88% | 10/29/2026: 91% |
Poll average
5 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+10.7
Alan Wilson (R)
49.5%
Jermaine Johnson (D)
38.7%
Michael Addison (O)
1.6%
Walid Hakim (G)
0.9%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Jermaine Johnson | Democrat |
| Alan Wilson | Republican |
| Michael Addison | Other |
| Walid Hakim | Green |
South Carolina governor's race: polls over time
37 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Alan Wilson 49.5%
Nancy Mace 13.2%
Pamela Evette 18.3%
Ralph Norman 14.4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Wilson | 49.5% | 34 | 10/26/2026 |
| Nancy Mace | 13.2% | 27 | 6/7/2026 |
| Pamela Evette | 18.3% | 27 | 6/7/2026 |
| Ralph Norman | 14.4% | 27 | 6/7/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 10/19–10/26 | 707 LV |
Alan Wilson (R)
Jermaine Johnson (D)
|
| Targoz Market Research | 10/16–10/25 | 895 LV |
Alan Wilson (R)
Jermaine Johnson (D)
Michael Addison (O)
Walid Hakim (G)
|
| The Citadel School of Humanities and Social Sciences | 10/14–10/25 | 890 LV |
Alan Wilson (R)
Jermaine Johnson (D)
Walid Hakim (G)
Michael Addison (O)
|
| Trafalgar Group | 10/16–10/18 | 1,095 LV |
Alan Wilson (R)
Jermaine Johnson (D)
Michael Addison (O)
Walid Hakim (G)
|
| National Public Affairs | 10/13–10/16 | 604 LV |
Alan Wilson (R)
Jermaine Johnson (D)
Michael Addison (O)
Walid Hakim (G)
|
| Hart Research Associates | 8/12–8/15 | 600 LV |
Alan Wilson (R)
Jermaine Johnson (D)
|
| Public Policy Polling | 7/16–7/17 | 577 LV |
Alan Wilson (R)
Jermaine Johnson (D)
|
| Trafalgar Group | 6/5–6/7 | 1,200 LV |
Pamela Evette (R)
Alan Wilson (R)
Rom Reddy (R)
Ralph Norman (R)
Nancy Mace (R)
Josh Kimbrell (R)
Jacqueline Dubose (R)
|
| InsiderAdvantage | 6/5–6/6 | 800 LV |
Pamela Evette (R)
Alan Wilson (R)
Nancy Mace (R)
Rom Reddy (R)
Ralph Norman (R)
Josh Kimbrell (R)
Jacqueline Dubose (R)
|
| Trafalgar Group | 6/2–6/4 | 982 LV |
Pamela Evette (R)
Alan Wilson (R)
Rom Reddy (R)
Ralph Norman (R)
Nancy Mace (R)
Jacqueline Dubose (R)
Josh Kimbrell (R)
|