Rhode Island governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
95% Dem
Rep <1%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Helena Foulkes | 95% |
| Aaron Guckian | <1% | |
| Ken Block | 5% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Helena Foulkes | 96% |
| Republican | <1% | |
| Independent | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 89% | 10/29/2026: 95% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 4% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
Poll average
4 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+26.7
Helena Foulkes (D)
42.9%
Ken Block (I)
28.7%
Aaron Guckian (R)
16.2%
CD Reynolds
1%
Jasjit Gotra (I)
0.8%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Helena Buonanno Foulkes | Democrat |
| Aaron C. Guckian | Republican |
| Kenneth Block | Independent |
| Jasjit S. Gotra | Independent |
| C. D. Reynolds | Independent |
Rhode Island governor's race: polls over time
21 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Helena Foulkes 42.9%
Ken Block 28.7%
Daniel McKee 33.8%
Aaron Guckian 16.2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helena Foulkes | 42.9% | 18 | 10/11/2026 |
| Ken Block | 28.7% | 10 | 10/11/2026 |
| Daniel McKee | 33.8% | 9 | 8/22/2026 |
| Aaron Guckian | 16.2% | 7 | 10/11/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 10/8–10/11 | 800 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Ken Block (I)
Aaron Guckian (R)
Christopher Reynolds (I)
Jasjit Gotra (I)
|
| Embold Research | 10/5–10/8 | 815 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Aaron Guckian (R)
Ken Block (I)
Jasjit Gotra (I)
CD Reynolds
|
| Opinion Diagnostics | 9/23–9/25 | 800 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Ken Block (I)
Aaron Guckian (R)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 9/17–9/21 | 598 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Aaron Guckian (R)
Ken Block (I)
Jasjit Gotra (I)
CD Reynolds
|
| University of New Hampshire | 8/20–8/24 | 750 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Ken Block (I)
Elaine Pelino (R)
Jasjit Gotra (I)
CD Reynolds
|
| Emerson College | 8/21–8/22 | 1,000 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Ken Block (I)
Generic Republican (R)
Jasjit Gotra (I)
Christopher Reynolds (I)
|
| Emerson College | 8/21–8/22 | 528 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Daniel McKee (D)
|
| Embold Research | 8/3–8/11 | 304 LV |
Elaine Pelino (R)
Aaron Guckian (R)
|
| Embold Research | 8/3–8/11 | 553 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Daniel McKee (D)
|
| Tavern Research | 7/10–7/14 | 777 LV |
Helena Foulkes (D)
Daniel McKee (D)
|