Minnesota governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
96% Dem
Rep 4%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Amy Klobuchar | 96% |
| Lisa Demuth | 5% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Amy Klobuchar | 97% |
| Lisa Demuth | 4% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 89% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 7% | 10/29/2026: 5% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: 4% |
Poll average
6 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+9.8
Amy Klobuchar (D)
50.4%
Lisa Demuth (R)
40.4%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Steven Young | Green |
| Amy Klobuchar | Democrat |
| Lisa Demuth | Republican |
| Write-in | Other |
Minnesota governor's race: polls over time
31 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Amy Klobuchar 50.4%
Lisa Demuth 40.4%
Mike Lindell 34.5%
Kendall Qualls 14%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Klobuchar | 50.4% | 22 | 10/26/2026 |
| Lisa Demuth | 40.4% | 19 | 10/26/2026 |
| Mike Lindell | 34.5% | 10 | 8/4/2026 |
| Kendall Qualls | 14% | 9 | 8/4/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 10/19–10/26 | 752 LV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
|
| Victory Insights | 10/21–10/22 | 1,194 LV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
|
| SurveyUSA | 10/8–10/12 | 718 LV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
Steven Young (G)
|
| Mason-Dixon | 10/5–10/7 | 800 LV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
|
| Morning Consult | 10/2–10/7 | 1,000 RV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
|
| GQR | 10/1–10/4 | 800 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Michele Tafoya (R)
|
| co/efficient | 9/14–9/15 | 833 LV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
|
| SurveyUSA | 9/9–9/14 | 654 LV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
Steven Young (G)
|
| TIPP Insights | 8/31–9/2 | 1,192 LV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
Steven Young (G)
|
| SurveyUSA | 8/13–8/17 | 661 LV |
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R)
Steven Young (G)
|