Michigan governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
93% Dem
Rep 7%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Jocelyn Benson | 93% |
| John James | 8% | |
| Mike Duggan | <1% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Jocelyn Benson | 94% |
| John James | 6% | |
| Independent | <1% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 64% | 10/29/2026: 93% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 66% | 10/29/2026: 94% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 13% | 10/29/2026: 8% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 20% | 10/29/2026: 6% |
Poll average
10 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+7.6
Jocelyn Benson (D)
50.7%
John James (R)
43%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Jocelyn Benson | Democrat |
| John James | Republican |
| Anthony Hudson | Libertarian |
| Donna Brandenburg | Other |
| Douglas Campbell | Green |
Michigan governor's race: polls over time
63 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
John James 43.9%
Jocelyn Benson 51.4%
Perry Johnson 34.2%
Aric Nesbitt 4.3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| John James | 43.9% | 53 | 10/27/2026 |
| Jocelyn Benson | 51.4% | 46 | 10/27/2026 |
| Perry Johnson | 34.2% | 19 | 7/29/2026 |
| Aric Nesbitt | 4.3% | 17 | 7/27/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guidant Polling and Strategy | 9/20–10/27 | 800 LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
|
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | 10/19–10/22 | 600 LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
|
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | 10/2–10/19 | 836 LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
|
| Marist University | 10/15–10/18 | — LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
|
| YouGov | 9/22–10/4 | 3,949 LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
|
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 10/1–10/1 | 682 LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
Douglas Campbell (G)
Anthony Hudson (L)
Donna Brandenburg (O)
|
| Z to A Research | 9/28–10/1 | 483 LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
Anthony Hudson (L)
Douglas Campbell (G)
|
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 9/24–9/28 | 1,028 LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
|
| Guidant Polling and Strategy | 9/20–9/27 | 800 LV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
|
| Marist University | 9/24–9/27 | 1,235 RV |
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R)
|