Virginia Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Mark Warner at 49.3%, Mark Moran at 3.5%, Bert Mizusawa at 32.5%, David Williams at 32.5%, based on 7 polls ending between 1/15/2025 and 6/16/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Virginia Senate race 2026 over time
7 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Mark Warner 49.3%
Mark Moran 3.5%
Bert Mizusawa 32.5%
David Williams 32.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Warner | 49.3% | 7 | 6/16/2026 |
| Mark Moran | 3.5% | 6 | 6/16/2026 |
| Bert Mizusawa | 32.5% | 2 | 6/16/2026 |
| David Williams | 32.5% | 2 | 6/16/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 7 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Mark Warner | 48.7% |
| Mark Moran | 3.5% |
| Bert Mizusawa | 32.5% |
| David Williams | 32.5% |
| Kim Farington | 32% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 38% |
Individual polls (7)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/16/2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | 996 RV |
Mark Warner (D)
Bert Mizusawa
Mark Moran
|
| 6/16/2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | 996 RV |
Mark Warner (D)
Kim Farington
Mark Moran
|
| 6/16/2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | — LV |
Mark Warner (D)
Bert Mizusawa
Mark Moran
|
| 6/16/2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | — LV |
Mark Warner (D)
Kim Farington
Mark Moran
|
| 6/16/2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | — LV |
Mark Warner (D)
David Williams
Mark Moran
|
| 6/16/2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | 996 RV |
Mark Warner (D)
David Williams
Mark Moran
|
| 1/15/2025 |
Responsive Management
for Virginia Commonwealth University |
806 A |
Mark Warner (D)
Glenn Youngkin (R)
|