VA-05 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts John McGuire at 48.5%, Tom Perriello at 45.5%, Cooke Harvey at 6%, based on 3 polls ending between 8/1/2026 and 9/28/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
VA-05 House race 2026 over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
John McGuire 48.5%
Tom Perriello 45.5%
Cooke Harvey 6%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| John McGuire | 48.5% | 3 | 9/28/2026 |
| Tom Perriello | 45.5% | 3 | 9/28/2026 |
| Cooke Harvey | 6% | 1 | 9/24/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 3 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| John McGuire | 48% |
| Tom Perriello | 45% |
| Cooke Harvey | 6% |
Individual polls (3)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28/2026 | The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 600 LV |
John McGuire (R)
Tom Perriello (D)
|
| 9/24/2026 | Expedition Strategies | 400 LV |
John McGuire (R)
Tom Perriello (D)
Cooke Harvey (I)
|
| 8/1/2026 | Expedition Strategies | 602 LV |
John McGuire (R)
Tom Perriello (D)
|