VA-01 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Shannon Taylor at 47.5%, Rob Wittman at 46%, Dem at 44%, Rep at 42%, based on 7 polls ending between 8/9/2025 and 10/25/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
VA-01 House race 2026 over time
7 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Shannon Taylor 47.5%
Rob Wittman 46%
Dem 44%
Rep 42%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Taylor | 47.5% | 5 | 10/25/2026 |
| Rob Wittman | 46% | 3 | 10/22/2026 |
| Dem | 44% | 2 | 3/12/2026 |
| Rep | 42% | 2 | 3/12/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 7 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Shannon Taylor | 46.2% |
| Rob Wittman | 44.3% |
| Robert Wittman | 47% |
| Dem | 45.5% |
| Rep | 44.5% |
Individual polls (7)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25/2026 | DCCC Targeting Team | 478 LV |
Shannon Taylor (D)
Robert Wittman (R)
|
| 10/22/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
570 LV |
Rob Wittman
Shannon Taylor (D)
|
| 9/28/2026 | The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 609 LV |
Rob Wittman
Shannon Taylor (D)
|
| 9/17/2026 | DCCC Targeting Team | 519 LV |
Robert Wittman (R)
Shannon Taylor (D)
|
| 3/12/2026 |
Ragnar Research Partners
for Conservatives for America |
400 LV |
Rep
Dem
|
| 8/9/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
541 RV |
Shannon Taylor (D)
Rob Wittman
|
| 8/9/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
541 RV |
Rep
Dem
|

