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TX-15 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Bobby Pulido at 52.5%, Monica De La Cruz at 42.5%, Henry Cuellar at 19%, based on 8 polls ending between 9/11/2025 and 10/16/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

TX-15 House race 2026 over time

8 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Bobby Pulido 52.5% Monica De La Cruz 42.5% Henry Cuellar 19%
View data as table
TX-15 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Bobby Pulido 52.5% 8 10/16/2026
Monica De La Cruz 42.5% 7 10/16/2026
Henry Cuellar 19% 1 1/27/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 8 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Bobby Pulido51.3%
Monica De La Cruz43.9%
Henry Cuellar19%

Individual polls (8)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
10/16/2026 Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center
for San Antonio Express-News, El País, Puente News Collaborative
— LV
Bobby Pulido (D)
51%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
44%
9/28/2026 Normington, Petts & Associates
for House Majority PAC
400 LV
Bobby Pulido (D)
54%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
41%
8/22/2026 Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center 700 LV
Bobby Pulido (D)
50%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
45%
7/30/2026 Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center 700 LV
Bobby Pulido (D)
50%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
45%
7/27/2026 Normington, Petts & Associates
for House Majority PAC
— LV
Bobby Pulido (D)
51%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
45%
5/25/2026 Applecart
for WelcomePAC
802 LV
Bobby Pulido (D)
48%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
46%
1/27/2026 GBAO 500 LV
Bobby Pulido (D)
68%
Henry Cuellar (D)
19%
9/11/2025 Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC
533 LV
Monica De La Cruz (R)
41%
Bobby Pulido (D)
38%

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