Pennsylvania governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Stacy Garrity at 34%, Josh Shapiro at 58%, Ken Krawchuk at 2.5%, Douglas V. Mastriano at 39%, based on 25 polls ending between 9/19/2025 and 10/21/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Pennsylvania governor's race 2026 over time
25 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Stacy Garrity 34%
Josh Shapiro 58%
Ken Krawchuk 2.5%
Douglas V. Mastriano 39%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stacy Garrity | 34% | 25 | 10/21/2026 |
| Josh Shapiro | 58% | 24 | 10/21/2026 |
| Ken Krawchuk | 2.5% | 2 | 10/5/2026 |
| Douglas V. Mastriano | 39% | 1 | 9/19/2025 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 25 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Stacy Garrity | 32.7% |
| Josh Shapiro | 54.2% |
| Ken Krawchuk | 2.5% |
| Douglas V. Mastriano | 39% |
| Tony Dastra | 2% |
Individual polls (25)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | ActiVote | 400 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 10/18/2026 | Franklin & Marshall College | — LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 10/11/2026 |
Bravo Group
for PennLive |
628 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 10/5/2026 | Quinnipiac University | 1,159 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
Ken Krawchuk (L)
|
| 10/1/2026 | Z to A Research | 630 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
Ken Krawchuk (L)
|
| 9/30/2026 | Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc. | 700 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 9/22/2026 |
Bravo Group
for PennLive |
624 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 9/22/2026 |
The New York Times/Siena University
for The Philadelphia Inquirer |
615 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 8/23/2026 | Franklin & Marshall College | 501 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
Tony Dastra (G)
|
| 8/22/2026 |
Bravo Group
for PennLive |
711 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 8/21/2026 |
The New York Times/Siena University
for The Philadelphia Inquirer |
760 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 8/21/2026 |
The New York Times/Siena University
for The Philadelphia Inquirer |
760 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 7/30/2026 | National Public Affairs | 600 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 7/24/2026 |
Bravo Group
for PennLive |
630 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 7/13/2026 | Quinnipiac University | 895 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 6/25/2026 |
Bravo Group
for PennLive |
644 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 6/14/2026 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | 546 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 6/11/2026 |
MAD Global Strategy
for Natural Allies for a Clean Energy Future |
600 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 5/24/2026 |
Bravo Group
for PennLive |
684 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 3/29/2026 | Susquehanna Polling & Research | 700 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 3/1/2026 | Franklin & Marshall College | 834 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 2/23/2026 | Quinnipiac University | 836 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 9/29/2025 | Quinnipiac University | 1,579 RV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 9/28/2025 | Susquehanna Polling & Research | 700 LV |
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|
| 9/19/2025 | Public Policy Polling | 524 LV |
Douglas V. Mastriano (R)
Stacy Garrity (R)
|