OH-15 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Don Leonard at 47%, Mike Carey at 45%, Brennan Barrington at 10%, based on 4 polls ending between 6/25/2026 and 10/12/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
OH-15 House race 2026 over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Don Leonard 47%
Mike Carey 45%
Brennan Barrington 10%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don Leonard | 47% | 4 | 10/12/2026 |
| Mike Carey | 45% | 4 | 10/12/2026 |
| Brennan Barrington | 10% | 2 | 8/9/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 4 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Mike Carey | 44% |
| Don Leonard | 42.8% |
| Brennan Barrington | 6.5% |
Individual polls (4)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2026 |
Hart Research Associates
for House Majority PAC |
503 LV |
Mike Carey (R)
Don Leonard (D)
|
| 9/24/2026 |
Hart Research Associates
for House Majority PAC |
500 LV |
Mike Carey (R)
Don Leonard (D)
|
| 8/9/2026 | Hart Research Associates | 401 LV |
Mike Carey (R)
Don Leonard (D)
Brennan Barrington (L)
|
| 6/25/2026 |
Hart Research Associates
for House Majority PAC |
550 LV |
Mike Carey (R)
Don Leonard (D)
Brennan Barrington (L)
|