OH-09 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Derek Merrin at 48%, Marcy Kaptur at 48%, Alea Nadeem at 4%, David Gedert at 3%, based on 3 polls ending between 4/16/2026 and 9/23/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
OH-09 House race 2026 over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Derek Merrin 48%
Marcy Kaptur 48%
Alea Nadeem 4%
David Gedert 3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Merrin | 48% | 3 | 9/23/2026 |
| Marcy Kaptur | 48% | 2 | 9/23/2026 |
| Alea Nadeem | 4% | 1 | 4/16/2026 |
| David Gedert | 3% | 1 | 4/20/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 3 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Derek Merrin | 42.7% |
| Marcy Kaptur | 45.5% |
| Josh Williams | 14% |
| Madison Sheahan | 10% |
| Alea Nadeem | 4% |
| David Gedert | 3% |
Individual polls (3)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/23/2026 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 481 LV |
Marcy Kaptur (D)
Derek Merrin (R)
|
| 4/20/2026 |
McLaughlin & Associates
for NRCC |
400 LV |
Derek Merrin (R)
Marcy Kaptur (D)
David Gedert (L)
|
| 4/16/2026 | J.L. Partners | 600 LV |
Derek Merrin (R)
Josh Williams (R)
Madison Sheahan (R)
Alea Nadeem (R)
|