NY-21 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Anthony Constantino at 45.3%, Blake Gendebien at 45%, Robert Smullen at 43%, Chris Schmidt at 5%, based on 9 polls ending between 2/12/2026 and 10/13/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
NY-21 House race 2026 over time
9 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Anthony Constantino 45.3%
Blake Gendebien 45%
Robert Smullen 43%
Chris Schmidt 5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Constantino | 45.3% | 9 | 10/13/2026 |
| Blake Gendebien | 45% | 7 | 10/13/2026 |
| Robert Smullen | 43% | 2 | 4/16/2026 |
| Chris Schmidt | 5% | 1 | 8/8/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 9 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Anthony Constantino | 44% |
| Blake Gendebien | 43.7% |
| Robert Smullen | 29.5% |
| Chris Schmidt | 5% |
| Christopher Schmidt | 5% |
Individual polls (9)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/13/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
613 LV |
Anthony Constantino (R)
Blake Gendebien (D)
|
| 10/6/2026 |
Siena University
for WAMC-FM, Albany Times Union, WPTZ |
496 LV |
Blake Gendebien (D)
Anthony Constantino (R)
Christopher Schmidt
|
| 10/4/2026 | Impact Research | 500 LV |
Anthony Constantino (R)
Blake Gendebien (D)
|
| 9/2/2026 | Impact Research | 500 LV |
Anthony Constantino (R)
Blake Gendebien (D)
|
| 8/17/2026 | J.L. Partners | 500 LV |
Anthony Constantino (R)
Blake Gendebien (D)
|
| 8/8/2026 |
SurveyUSA
for WNYT |
800 A |
Anthony Constantino (R)
Blake Gendebien (D)
Chris Schmidt (I)
|
| 5/31/2026 | Impact Research | 500 LV |
Anthony Constantino (R)
Blake Gendebien (D)
|
| 4/16/2026 | McLaughlin & Associates | 300 LV |
Robert Smullen (R)
Anthony Constantino (R)
|
| 2/12/2026 | GrayHouse | 500 LV |
Anthony Constantino (R)
Robert Smullen (R)
|