New Mexico Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Ben Ray Luján at 53.5%, Larry Marker at 36.5%, Ben Luján at 69%, Matt Dodson at 9%, based on 4 polls ending between 4/24/2026 and 10/9/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
New Mexico Senate race 2026 over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Ben Ray Luján 53.5%
Larry Marker 36.5%
Ben Luján 69%
Matt Dodson 9%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Ray Luján | 53.5% | 3 | 10/9/2026 |
| Larry Marker | 36.5% | 3 | 10/9/2026 |
| Ben Luján | 69% | 1 | 4/24/2026 |
| Matt Dodson | 9% | 1 | 4/24/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 4 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Ben Ray Luján | 53.3% |
| Larry Marker | 37% |
| Ben Luján | 69% |
| Matt Dodson | 9% |
Individual polls (4)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/9/2026 |
Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal |
1,125 LV |
Ben Ray Luján (D)
Larry Marker (R)
|
| 9/30/2026 |
SurveyUSA
for KOB-TV (Albuquerque) |
576 LV |
Ben Ray Luján (D)
Larry Marker (R)
|
| 8/28/2026 |
Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal |
516 LV |
Ben Ray Luján (D)
Larry Marker (R)
|
| 4/24/2026 |
Research & Polling Inc.
for Albuquerque Journal |
534 LV |
Ben Luján (D)
Matt Dodson (D)
|