Nevada governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Aaron Ford at 49%, Joe Lombardo at 45%, Danielle Ford at 4.7%, Alexis Hill at 13%, based on 14 polls ending between 10/13/2025 and 10/25/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Nevada governor's race 2026 over time
14 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Aaron Ford 49%
Joe Lombardo 45%
Danielle Ford 4.7%
Alexis Hill 13%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ford | 49% | 14 | 10/25/2026 |
| Joe Lombardo | 45% | 13 | 10/25/2026 |
| Danielle Ford | 4.7% | 2 | 9/26/2026 |
| Alexis Hill | 13% | 1 | 12/18/2025 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 14 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Aaron Ford | 42.2% |
| Joe Lombardo | 44.3% |
| Danielle Ford | 4.7% |
| Alexis Hill | 13% |
Individual polls (14)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25/2026 |
Hart Research Associates
for A More Affordable Nevada |
950 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 9/30/2026 |
Concord Public Opinion Partners
for Education Reform Now Advocacy |
565 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 9/26/2026 | Noble Predictive Insights | 800 RV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
Danielle Ford (I)
|
| 9/8/2026 |
Emerson College
for KLAS-TV |
680 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
Danielle Ford (I)
|
| 7/29/2026 |
Tarrance Group
for Better Nevada PAC | Republican Governors Association |
550 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 7/16/2026 |
Grassroots Targeting
for Better Nevada PAC | Republican Governors Association |
2,500 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 7/16/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for Democratic Governors Association |
558 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 6/29/2026 |
Public Opinion Strategies
for Republican Governors Association |
600 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 5/11/2026 | Global Strategy Group | 700 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 3/13/2026 | Noble Predictive Insights | 845 RV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 2/17/2026 |
Hart Research Associates
for Majority Institute |
800 LV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 12/18/2025 | Change Research | 555 LV |
Aaron Ford (D)
Alexis Hill (D)
|
| 11/18/2025 | Emerson College | 800 RV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|
| 10/13/2025 | Noble Predictive Insights | 766 RV |
Joe Lombardo (R)
Aaron Ford (D)
|