2026 Los Angeles Mayoral race
Our 21-day average puts Karen Bass at 36.2%, Nithya Raman at 41.2%, Spencer Pratt at 24.3%, Adam Miller at 5.9%, based on 16 polls ending between 3/9/2026 and 10/25/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
2026 Los Angeles Mayoral race over time
16 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Karen Bass 36.2%
Nithya Raman 41.2%
Spencer Pratt 24.3%
Adam Miller 5.9%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karen Bass | 36.2% | 16 | 10/25/2026 |
| Nithya Raman | 41.2% | 16 | 10/25/2026 |
| Spencer Pratt | 24.3% | 8 | 5/28/2026 |
| Adam Miller | 5.9% | 7 | 5/24/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 16 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Karen Bass | 30.4% |
| Nithya Raman | 28.4% |
| Spencer Pratt | 18.4% |
| Adam Miller | 5.3% |
| Rae Huang | 5.2% |
| Andrew Kim | 1% |
| Juanita Lopez | 1% |
| Andrej A. Selivra | 0% |
Individual polls (16)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25/2026 |
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies
for Los Angeles Times |
2,197 LV |
Nithya Raman (D)
Karen Bass (D)
|
| 10/18/2026 |
McLaughlin & Associates
for California Post |
400 LV |
Nithya Raman (D)
Karen Bass (D)
|
| 10/7/2026 |
Impact Research
for Estamos Con Nithya for Mayor of LA 2026 |
773 LV |
Nithya Raman (D)
Karen Bass (D)
|
| 10/5/2026 |
FM3 Research
for United Firefighters of Los Angeles City Local 112 |
594 LV |
Nithya Raman (D)
Karen Bass (D)
|
| 9/28/2026 |
FM3 Research
for Central City Association |
809 LV |
Nithya Raman (D)
Karen Bass (D)
|
| 9/9/2026 | Hart Research Associates | 600 LV |
Nithya Raman (D)
Karen Bass (D)
|
| 9/3/2026 |
Impact Research
for Estamos Con Nithya for Mayor of LA 2026 |
700 LV |
Karen Bass (D)
Nithya Raman (D)
|
| 5/28/2026 |
McLaughlin & Associates
for California Post |
400 LV |
Spencer Pratt (R)
Karen Bass (D)
Nithya Raman (D)
|
| 5/24/2026 |
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies
for Los Angeles Times |
1,913 RV |
Nithya Raman (D)
Karen Bass (D)
|
| 5/24/2026 |
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies
for Los Angeles Times |
1,351 LV |
Karen Bass (D)
Nithya Raman (D)
Spencer Pratt (R)
Rae Huang (D)
Adam Miller (D)
|
| 5/18/2026 | Cygnal Political | 500 LV |
Karen Bass (D)
Spencer Pratt (R)
Nithya Raman (D)
Rae Huang (D)
Adam Miller (D)
|
| 5/10/2026 |
Emerson College
for Inside California Politics | Nexstar |
350 LV |
Karen Bass (D)
Nithya Raman (D)
Spencer Pratt (R)
Adam Miller (D)
Rae Huang (D)
|
| 5/4/2026 |
Tavern Research
for Abundance Network | Growth Machine Fund |
531 LV |
Karen Bass (D)
Spencer Pratt (R)
Nithya Raman (D)
Rae Huang (D)
Adam Miller (D)
Andrew Kim (I)
Juanita Lopez (I)
Misael Ortega (I)
Griselda Diaz (I)
Andrej A. Selivra (I)
Suzy Kim (I)
Tish Hyman (I)
Nelson Cheng (I)
Bryant Acosta (I)
Asaad Alnajjar (I)
John Logsdon (I)
|
| 3/29/2026 |
FM3 Research
for UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs |
813 LV |
Karen Bass (D)
Spencer Pratt (R)
Nithya Raman (D)
Adam Miller (D)
Rae Huang (D)
|
| 3/15/2026 |
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies
for Los Angeles Times |
840 LV |
Karen Bass (D)
Nithya Raman (D)
Spencer Pratt (R)
Rae Huang (D)
Adam Miller (D)
|
| 3/9/2026 |
Emerson College
for Inside California Politics | Nexstar |
350 LV |
Karen Bass (D)
Spencer Pratt (R)
Nithya Raman (D)
Adam Miller (D)
Rae Huang (D)
|