KY-06 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Ralph Alvarado at 40.2%, Zach Dembo at 46%, Ryan Dotson at 26%, Adam Perez Arquette at 1%, based on 14 polls ending between 2/12/2026 and 10/20/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
KY-06 House race 2026 over time
14 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Ralph Alvarado 40.2%
Zach Dembo 46%
Ryan Dotson 26%
Adam Perez Arquette 1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Alvarado | 40.2% | 12 | 10/20/2026 |
| Zach Dembo | 46% | 10 | 10/20/2026 |
| Ryan Dotson | 26% | 4 | 5/7/2026 |
| Adam Perez Arquette | 1% | 3 | 5/7/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 14 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Ralph Alvarado | 38.8% |
| Zach Dembo | 42% |
| Ryan Dotson | 19% |
| Greg Plucinski | 5% |
| Steve Shannon | 2% |
| Adam Perez Arquette | 0.7% |
| Cherlynn Stevenson | 31.5% |
| Jay Bowman | 4% |
Individual polls (14)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC |
572 LV |
Ralph Alvarado (R)
Zach Dembo (D)
|
| 10/5/2026 |
Change Research
for Kentuckians Not Corruption |
524 LV |
Zach Dembo (D)
Ralph Alvarado (R)
|
| 10/5/2026 | DCCC Targeting Team | 606 LV |
Zach Dembo (D)
Ralph Alvarado (R)
Jay Bowman (I)
Pete Lynch (O)
|
| 10/4/2026 |
Lake Research Partners
for House Majority PAC |
400 LV |
Zach Dembo (D)
Ralph Alvarado (R)
|
| 10/4/2026 |
Lake Research Partners
for House Majority PAC |
400 LV |
Zach Dembo (D)
Ralph Alvarado (R)
Jay Bowman (I)
Pete Lynch (O)
|
| 9/30/2026 | GQR | 401 LV |
Zach Dembo (D)
Ralph Alvarado (R)
|
| 8/23/2026 |
Lake Research Partners
for House Majority PAC |
— LV |
Zach Dembo (D)
Ralph Alvarado (R)
|
| 7/30/2026 | DCCC Targeting Team | 474 LV |
Zach Dembo (D)
Ralph Alvarado (R)
|
| 6/28/2026 | GQR | — LV |
Ralph Alvarado (R)
Zach Dembo (D)
|
| 5/7/2026 | 1892 Polling | 400 LV |
Ralph Alvarado (R)
Ryan Dotson (R)
Greg Plucinski (R)
Steve Shannon (R)
Adam Perez Arquette (R)
|
| 4/25/2026 | Public Policy Polling | 675 RV |
Ryan Dotson (R)
Cherlynn Stevenson (D)
|
| 4/9/2026 |
Normington, Petts & Associates
for EMILYs List |
400 LV |
Cherlynn Stevenson (D)
Zach Dembo (D)
Erin Petrey (D)
Corey Edwards (D)
David Kloiber (D)
Jimmy Ausbrooks (D)
Harvey Carroll (D)
|
| 4/8/2026 | 1892 Polling | — LV |
Ralph Alvarado (R)
Ryan Dotson (R)
Greg Plucinski (R)
Steve Shannon (R)
Adam Perez Arquette (R)
|
| 2/12/2026 | 1892 Polling | — LV |
Ralph Alvarado (R)
Ryan Dotson (R)
Steve Shannon (R)
Adam Perez Arquette (R)
Greg Plucinski (R)
|