Iowa Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Josh Turek at 45.5%, Ashley Hinson at 45.6%, Thomas Laehn at 4%, Zach Wahls at 29%, based on 47 polls ending between 12/7/2024 and 10/23/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Iowa Senate race 2026 over time
47 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Josh Turek 45.5%
Ashley Hinson 45.6%
Thomas Laehn 4%
Zach Wahls 29%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Turek | 45.5% | 41 | 10/23/2026 |
| Ashley Hinson | 45.6% | 38 | 10/23/2026 |
| Thomas Laehn | 4% | 13 | 10/23/2026 |
| Zach Wahls | 29% | 9 | 5/21/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 47 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Josh Turek | 44.6% |
| Ashley Hinson | 45.8% |
| Thomas Laehn | 3.6% |
| Zach Wahls | 38.3% |
| Joni Ernst | 45.7% |
| Generic Democrat | 43% |
| Jim Carlin | 22% |
Individual polls (47)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23/2026 |
Echelon Insights
for NetChoice |
403 LV |
Josh Turek (D)
Ashley Hinson (R)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 10/22/2026 | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 10/19/2026 | co/efficient | 863 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 10/15/2026 | Trafalgar Group | 1,094 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 10/13/2026 |
New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group
for The Cook Political Report |
602 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 10/12/2026 | National Public Affairs | 678 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 10/12/2026 | YouGov | 2,245 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 10/11/2026 | Marist University | 1,100 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 10/6/2026 |
Emerson College
for Nexstar Media |
650 LV |
Josh Turek (D)
Ashley Hinson (R)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 10/5/2026 | CNN/SSRS | 801 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 10/4/2026 | Suffolk University | 500 LV |
Josh Turek (D)
Ashley Hinson (R)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 10/1/2026 | The New York Times/Siena University | 606 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 9/29/2026 | Quantus Insights | 738 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 9/28/2026 |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
for Fox News |
1,008 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 9/23/2026 | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 LV |
Josh Turek (D)
Ashley Hinson (R)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 9/20/2026 | Marist University | 1,050 RV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 9/18/2026 | Trafalgar Group | 1,089 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 9/16/2026 | co/efficient | 831 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 9/11/2026 |
Cygnal Political
for Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation |
500 LV |
Josh Turek (D)
Ashley Hinson (R)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 9/8/2026 | YouGov | 2,166 RV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 9/8/2026 | YouGov | 2,041 LV |
Josh Turek (D)
Ashley Hinson (R)
|
| 9/1/2026 |
Emerson College
for Nexstar Media |
750 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|
| 8/31/2026 | Global Strategy Group | 800 LV |
Josh Turek (D)
Ashley Hinson (R)
Thomas Laehn (L)
|
| 8/28/2026 | Abacus Data | 323 LV |
Josh Turek (D)
Ashley Hinson (R)
|
| 8/23/2026 | Suffolk University | 500 LV |
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
|