FL-07 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Cory Mills at 28.3%, Ryan Elijah at 45%, Bale Dalton at 45%, Michael Don Johnson at 5.3%, based on 5 polls ending between 5/21/2026 and 10/19/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
FL-07 House race 2026 over time
5 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Cory Mills 28.3%
Ryan Elijah 45%
Bale Dalton 45%
Michael Don Johnson 5.3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Mills | 28.3% | 4 | 8/15/2026 |
| Ryan Elijah | 45% | 4 | 10/19/2026 |
| Bale Dalton | 45% | 2 | 10/19/2026 |
| Michael Don Johnson | 5.3% | 2 | 8/6/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 5 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Ryan Elijah | 31.2% |
| Cory Mills | 31% |
| Bale Dalton | 43% |
| Sarah Ulrich | 6.5% |
| Michael Don Johnson | 5.3% |
Individual polls (5)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 414 LV |
Bale Dalton (D)
Ryan Elijah (R)
|
| 8/15/2026 |
Capital Strategic Partners
for Stand for Freedom PAC |
901 LV |
Ryan Elijah (R)
Cory Mills (R)
|
| 8/6/2026 | Victory Insights | — LV |
Cory Mills (R)
Ryan Elijah (R)
Sarah Ulrich (R)
Michael Don Johnson (R)
|
| 8/4/2026 |
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics |
304 LV |
Cory Mills (R)
Ryan Elijah (R)
Sarah Ulrich (R)
Michael Don Johnson (R)
|
| 5/21/2026 | Public Policy Polling | 570 RV |
Bale Dalton (D)
Cory Mills (R)
|