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AZ-04 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Greg Stanton at 51%, Kai Newkirk at 30.5%, based on 2 polls ending between 6/29/2026 and 7/8/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

AZ-04 House race 2026 over time

2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Greg Stanton 51% Kai Newkirk 30.5%
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AZ-04 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Greg Stanton 51% 2 7/8/2026
Kai Newkirk 30.5% 2 7/8/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 2 matching polls
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Average result
Choice%
Greg Stanton51%
Kai Newkirk30.5%

Individual polls (2)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
7/8/2026 Braun Research
for A Fight Worth Having
424 LV
Greg Stanton (D)
46%
Kai Newkirk (D)
38%
6/29/2026 FM3 Research 422 RV
Greg Stanton (D)
56%
Kai Newkirk (D)
23%

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