AZ-01 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Jay Feely at 41.6%, Amish Shah at 44.4%, John Trobough at 5.7%, Joseph Chaplik at 23.1%, based on 4 polls ending between 2/23/2026 and 10/1/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
AZ-01 House race 2026 over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Jay Feely 41.6%
Amish Shah 44.4%
John Trobough 5.7%
Joseph Chaplik 23.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Feely | 41.6% | 3 | 10/1/2026 |
| Amish Shah | 44.4% | 2 | 10/1/2026 |
| John Trobough | 5.7% | 2 | 6/17/2026 |
| Joseph Chaplik | 23.1% | 2 | 6/17/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 4 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Jay Feely | 27.2% |
| Amish Shah | 38.5% |
| Joseph Chaplik | 23.6% |
| John Trobough | 5.9% |
| Marlene Galan-Woods | 11% |
| Mark Gordon | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Treble | 1.5% |
| Rick McCartney | 1.5% |
Individual polls (4)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/1/2026 | FirstStrategic | 400 LV |
Amish Shah (D)
Jay Feely (R)
|
| 6/17/2026 | NextGenP | 695 LV |
Jay Feely (R)
Joseph Chaplik (R)
John Trobough (R)
|
| 4/16/2026 | NextGenP | 409 RV |
Joseph Chaplik (R)
Jay Feely (R)
John Trobough (R)
|
| 2/23/2026 | HighGround | 400 LV |
Amish Shah (D)
Marlene Galan-Woods (D)
Mark Gordon (D)
Rick McCartney (D)
Jonathan Treble (D)
|